While the world of finance believes risk is measured by volatility (standard deviation), it is my belief that loss of capital is risk, and not volatility. In Figure 11.1, example A ends where it begins with…
Stocks
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S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to…
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2024 will be marked by a massive string of bank failures!!! Well, according to a few economists on the far end of the mainstream economic spectrum, that is. This sounds alarming, of course, but does…
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In this edition of StockCharts TV‘s The Final Bar, Dave drops a market update, with a focus on Bitcoin’s rebound above 70K, deteriorating short-term breadth conditions, and stocks still making new highs despite the market consolidation phase.…
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My preference is to trade strong stocks that are simply consolidating and ridding themselves of weak hands, hopefully just in time to ride the next wave higher. Software ($DJUSSW) has been consolidating for the past…
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Stocks
Week Ahead: NIFTY May Continue Finding Resistance At Higher Levels; These Sectors May Relatively Outperform
In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that while the markets may attempt to inch higher, they may not form anything beyond minor incremental highs and may largely continue to stay under consolidation.…
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In this edition of StockCharts TV‘s The Final Bar, Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag. Today he talks about how to use the ADX indicator, how growth vs. value may have formed a double top…
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In this episode of StockCharts TV‘s The MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares what to be on the lookout for to tell if it’s safe to put new money to work. She also shares the weakness in select…
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The VIX ended the week just above 16, bringing it to its highest level in 2024. What does this tell us about investor sentiment, and how does this compare to previous market cycles? Let’s take a…
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One day doesn’t make a trend—that’s one lesson we learned from this week’s stock market action. The March non-farm payrolls data revealed that the US economy added 303,000 jobs, which is higher than the estimated…